I’ve always wondered, if decades in the future, a terrorist attack might occur by somebody nudging an asteroid towards Earth. I’m not the only person thinking this, it was a major plot point in the TV show ‘The Expanse’.
The bugs in starship troopers use asteroids as interstellar projectiles as well.
It’ll keep going up as we eliminate trajectory possibilities till we eliminate the one with the Earth and it rapidly drops to zero. Unless it doesn’t, and jumps to 100%.
Seems surprisingly possible to deflect though. The question is whether the place it would come down is willing/able to devote the resources. https://youtu.be/Esk1hg2knno
It’s likely we won’t actually know with certainty until its next pass in 2028. The window for observation is closing, especially for smaller telescopes. Even with our best telescopes, we have until about June, and these are very busy telescopes.
Aww, just one city?
Wooo! You can do it buddy. I’m routing for you!
Don’t forget about 99942 Apophis which is hanging around 2.7% chance of hitting earth April of 2029.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/99942_Apophis
Screw Iron Dome over any one country. We are headed into a new astrogeologic time frame.
