vegeta@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 4 months agoHarris tops Trump for first time in Nate Silver’s election forecastthehill.comexternal-linkmessage-square49fedilinkarrow-up1300arrow-down111
arrow-up1289arrow-down1external-linkHarris tops Trump for first time in Nate Silver’s election forecastthehill.comvegeta@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 4 months agomessage-square49fedilink
minus-squareGaMEChld@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkarrow-up18·4 months agoI think Nate made a good point about people not understanding polls. 70% chance to win means Hillary would have won 70/100 elections, not win by 70-30. But many read 70% as some kind of guarantee.
I think Nate made a good point about people not understanding polls. 70% chance to win means Hillary would have won 70/100 elections, not win by 70-30. But many read 70% as some kind of guarantee.