1. West Virginia - Incumbent: Democrat Joe Manchin
  2. Montana - Incumbent: Democrat Jon Tester
  3. Ohio - Incumbent: Democrat Sherrod Brown
  4. Arizona - Incumbent: Independent Kyrsten Sinema
  5. Nevada - Incumbent: Democrat Jacky Rosen
  6. Wisconsin - Incumbent: Democrat Tammy Baldwin
  7. Pennsylvania - Incumbent: Democrat Bob Casey
  8. Michigan - Incumbent: Democrat Debbie Stabenow (retiring)
  9. Texas - Incumbent: Republican Ted Cruz
  10. Florida - Incumbent: Republican Rick Scott
  • Blackout@kbin.social
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    1 year ago

    Flip is supposed to mean from one party to the other but I doubt Michigan is going to elect an R to replace Stabenow.

      • GiddyGap@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        Also unlikely that Arizona will replace Sinema with a Republican.

        Still, Democrats certainly have their work cut out for them to retain control of the Senate this cycle. Will probably be a lot easier to flip the House and retain the Presidency.

        Doubt that Manchin and Tester will be reelected. That in itself would flip the Senate if everything else stays the same.

  • StinkySnork@kbin.social
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    1 year ago

    I can attest to the seat for Ohio. Gerrymandering and Trumpism have turned this state red, when by most accounts it should have more variety. After seeing friggin J.D. Vance somehow getting elected albeit offering nothing other than support for Trump, then I can’t see anyone blue winning the Senate seat until redistricting is finalized and fairer.

    • Baron Von J@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Gerrymandering really shouldn’t impact state-wide races, mathematically, but it sure feels like it breeds a combination of complacency and defeatism that overcomes the math.

      • Baron Von J@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        People in the “minority” party districts get complacent that their district will be safe so there’s lower turnout (Harris County in Tx, 3rd largest county in the country, heavily Democratic, had under 50% turnout in the 2020 elections). People in “majority” party districts feel like there’s no hope they’ll be represented, so they give up and don’t vote.

    • snooggums@kbin.social
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      1 year ago

      Let’s not get overconfident. The worst of his behavior has yet to reduce his popularity.

      I don’t even think convictions would impact his followers, they are just nuts.

    • atp2112@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      I wouldn’t go that far. At this point, demographics, political inertia, and Manchin’s growing local unpopularity basically mean WV is a lost cause barring some miracle

  • vd1n@lemmy.ml
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    1 year ago

    But it really doesn’t matter because America’s a joke from whatever side or angle you look at it.